Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) news and analysis

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A thermal drone found 45 gas generators running at the Nebius (NBIS) data center in New Jersey. The state says it issued no permits.
News

A thermal drone found 45 gas generators running at the Nebius (NBIS) data center in New Jersey. The state says it issued no permits.

Floodlight's thermal drone footage shows at least 45 of 62 gas generators operating at DataOne in Vineland, the site supplying Microsoft under Nebius' $17 billion deal. NJDEP says it has issued no permits and none are under review.

Aug 28, 2026
IREN signed a frontier AI lab and is paying 9% to finance the GPUs. Microsoft deployment debt costs 6%.
News

IREN signed a frontier AI lab and is paying 9% to finance the GPUs. Microsoft deployment debt costs 6%.

IREN (IREN) reported fiscal 2026 results and a new multi-year contract with an unnamed leading frontier AI lab. The same release prices its GPU debt by customer: 9.0% on $2.4 billion for non investment grade deployments, 6.0% on the $3.6 billion behind Microsoft.

Aug 28, 2026
Countries are buying AI compute like oil reserves. Nvidia says it's already a $30 billion business.
Explainers

Countries are buying AI compute like oil reserves. Nvidia says it's already a $30 billion business.

Governments are buying AI compute as national infrastructure, and specialized neoclouds are renting out GPUs at scale, but the two overlap more than the headline numbers suggest. What it means for Nvidia, Oracle, CoreWeave, Nebius and IREN.

Aug 23, 2026
Ken Griffin says Citadel has closed out 80% of Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness risk
News

Ken Griffin says Citadel has closed out 80% of Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness risk

Griffin's first comment on the Situational Awareness purchase came in a Friday letter to clients. It took more than 100 block trades over $4 billion of market value to retire four fifths of the risk.

Aug 21, 2026
Nebius (NBIS) is selling $4.5 billion of convertible notes, and the stock dropped about 9% on the news
News

Nebius (NBIS) is selling $4.5 billion of convertible notes, and the stock dropped about 9% on the news

Nebius announced a $4.5 billion convertible notes offering split between 2030 and 2034 maturities, plus exchanges of its existing 2029 and 2031 notes for new shares. NBIS shares fell about 9% Wednesday on the dilution risk.

Aug 19, 2026
Four states now publish how much announced data center demand they actually expect. All four throw out most of it.
Explainers

Four states now publish how much announced data center demand they actually expect. All four throw out most of it.

Between December 2025 and August 2026, utilities and grid operators in four states each published their own count of how much announced data center demand they expect to serve. Seven filings, no shared method, and every one of them removes most of what it was asked for. None of the figures are new; the pattern across them is.

Aug 19, 2026
Leopold Aschenbrenner's latest filing shows he closed 13 of his 16 options positions and moved more than half his fund into SanDisk and Micron
News

Leopold Aschenbrenner's latest filing shows he closed 13 of his 16 options positions and moved more than half his fund into SanDisk and Micron

Situational Awareness LP reported $8.46 billion of put positions on March 31 and one on June 30. The money went into SanDisk, Micron, Nebius and STMicroelectronics.

Aug 18, 2026
The AI trade rotates to a new sector every week. Which one is it going to be this week?
Columns

The AI trade rotates to a new sector every week. Which one is it going to be this week?

The AI trade has rotated by sector almost every week: software, then photonics, then memory. So which corner of AI runs next? I make the case for the one group that keeps riding along without ever leading.

Aug 16, 2026
Hedge Fund Citadel already held every stock in Leopold Aschenbrenner's book before buying it
News

Hedge Fund Citadel already held every stock in Leopold Aschenbrenner's book before buying it

Citadel's own quarterly filing, out Friday, already listed every stock in Leopold Aschenbrenner's book, about a month before it bought the book. The catch is what those holdings actually mean.

Aug 14, 2026
Nebius (NBIS) soars 27% as explosive AI demand burns Michael Burry's short
Columns

Nebius (NBIS) soars 27% as explosive AI demand burns Michael Burry's short

Nebius grew Q2 revenue 454% to $582 million, swung to a profit, and jumped about 27% as CEO Arkady Volozh said AI demand keeps growing exponentially. The whole data center trade rallied, and Michael Burry's fresh short went underwater.

Aug 12, 2026
CoreWeave (CRWV) crushed earnings and Cramer's IREN call aged well. Then Nebius (NBIS) crushed it too.
Columns

CoreWeave (CRWV) crushed earnings and Cramer's IREN call aged well. Then Nebius (NBIS) crushed it too.

CoreWeave crushed its quarter and jumped about 15% after hours, five days after Jim Cramer told a caller to buy CRWV over IREN and called it cheaper and better. The backlog hit $104 billion. Nebius (NBIS) reports Wednesday morning, and it's the next test for the whole neocloud trade.

Aug 11, 2026
Lumentum (LITE) and Coherent (COHR) have each beaten Wall Street six quarters straight. Intuitive Machines (LUNR) has missed six straight, and 28 more AI stocks report the same week.
News

Lumentum (LITE) and Coherent (COHR) have each beaten Wall Street six quarters straight. Intuitive Machines (LUNR) has missed six straight, and 28 more AI stocks report the same week.

Lumentum and Coherent haven't missed a quarter in over a year. Intuitive Machines hasn't beaten one. More than 30 AI-linked stocks report earnings the week of August 10, and their trailing records couldn't be more different.

Aug 8, 2026
Michael Burry shorted Oracle (ORCL) at $144.63 and Nebius (NBIS) at $211.77. This time it's the stock, not puts.
News

Michael Burry shorted Oracle (ORCL) at $144.63 and Nebius (NBIS) at $211.77. This time it's the stock, not puts.

Michael Burry shorted Oracle at $144.63 and Nebius at $211.77 on August 6, this time selling the shares short instead of buying puts. His argument: their AI-era earnings are inflated by understated chip depreciation.

Aug 7, 2026
The AI trade rallied Monday. Memory fell as much as 8% at the open even as chip prices kept rising.
News

The AI trade rallied Monday. Memory fell as much as 8% at the open even as chip prices kept rising.

Micron (MU) has lost a third of its value since June 25 and SanDisk nearly half. CoreWeave and Vertiv fell about half as far, and Nvidia rose. Memory contract prices never fell. What changed is the rate of increase, which went from 93-98% a quarter to a forecast 13-18%.

Aug 3, 2026
Nine Aschenbrenner stocks report earnings Aug. 4 to 6, led by SanDisk (SNDK). Nobody can say which six are still his.
News

Nine Aschenbrenner stocks report earnings Aug. 4 to 6, led by SanDisk (SNDK). Nobody can say which six are still his.

Citadel bought the fund's public stock book on July 30. Six of the names in its last itemized filing report earnings between Tuesday and Thursday, and no filing yet says who owns them.

Aug 1, 2026
Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness fund owned 19 stocks outright. Every one of them rose Thursday after he sold his positions
News

Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness fund owned 19 stocks outright. Every one of them rose Thursday after he sold his positions

Four SEC filings name 19 companies Situational Awareness owned outright, and every one of them rose on July 30. Nebius was the biggest at about $1.84 billion, and the quarterly report understates SharonAI by twelve times.

Jul 30, 2026
The Nasdaq fell six days straight, then chips ripped. Microsoft, Samsung, and Citadel buying out Aschenbrenner all landed inside 18 hours.
Columns

The Nasdaq fell six days straight, then chips ripped. Microsoft, Samsung, and Citadel buying out Aschenbrenner all landed inside 18 hours.

The Nasdaq's six-day losing streak ended at exactly six, which our own history piece said was the single most likely outcome. Microsoft's $678 billion backlog, Samsung's call that the chip crunch runs to 2028, and Citadel buying the bulk of a leveraged $24 billion book all arrived between Wednesday's close and Thursday afternoon.

Jul 30, 2026
Citadel bought Leopold Aschenbrenner's stock book. Two outlets say he kept part of it, and a filing due Monday settles it.
News

Citadel bought Leopold Aschenbrenner's stock book. Two outlets say he kept part of it, and a filing due Monday settles it.

Bloomberg and Reuters both name Ken Griffin's Citadel as the buyer of Situational Awareness's stock book, and both say bulk, not all. CNBC said the entire public book went in one block to one buyer. A Form 4 on the SharonAI (SHAZ) stake is due Aug. 3, an initial 13D or 13G from Citadel on Aug. 6, and the fund's own quarterly report on Aug. 14.

Jul 30, 2026
Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI fund sold its levered stock book, longs and shorts, to a single buyer. It was levered as much as four times.
News

Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI fund sold its levered stock book, longs and shorts, to a single buyer. It was levered as much as four times.

CNBC's David Faber reported that Situational Awareness sold its entire public equities book, longs and shorts together, to a single buyer. The fund reached $24 billion near its highs and ran leverage of as much as four times. Its last public filing shows 62% of a $13.68 billion book was bets against chip stocks, and the stocks it owned outright fell twice as far.

Jul 30, 2026
US strikes on Iran paused. Oil fell more than 3%, and Micron (MU) and Nebius (NBIS) rose over the weekend
News

US strikes on Iran paused. Oil fell more than 3%, and Micron (MU) and Nebius (NBIS) rose over the weekend

US Central Command has gone two straight nights without striking Iran, and a Defense Department source told CNN operations are on a hold. Polymarket puts an effective ceasefire at 75% by August 31. US markets were shut all weekend, but the tokenized stock market never closed, and it spent Sunday buying the AI trade and selling oil.

Jul 26, 2026
All seven Magnificent Seven stocks fell today. Here's where that money actually went (July 23, 2026)
News

All seven Magnificent Seven stocks fell today. Here's where that money actually went (July 23, 2026)

All seven Magnificent Seven stocks were red by late morning Thursday, led by Tesla's 14% drop on an earnings miss and Alphabet's close-to-7% slide despite beating estimates, on another capex raise. Amazon and Meta sold off too ahead of next week's reports. The money didn't just leave, it rotated: into defense on Lockheed's earnings beat, and out of quantum, SaaS and space.

Jul 23, 2026
Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet (GOOGL) are falling hard. The rest of the AI trade isn't (July 23, 2026)
News

Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet (GOOGL) are falling hard. The rest of the AI trade isn't (July 23, 2026)

Tesla and Alphabet kept falling through Thursday morning even as chipmakers, neoclouds and photonics stocks held up fine. Oil topped $100 a barrel after Trump threatened to bomb Iranian infrastructure over any new attack on shipping.

Jul 23, 2026
Jim Cramer's tech calls are still lagging the rest of his book. Intel is 1 for 5, and IBM crashed the day after his second buy call.
News

Jim Cramer's tech calls are still lagging the rest of his book. Intel is 1 for 5, and IBM crashed the day after his second buy call.

Jim Cramer's tech calls are still his weak spot. Intel is 1 for 5 since June, IBM is down nearly 30% since his back-to-back buy calls, and his tech picks trail the Nasdaq-100 by more than three points a call even after Tuesday's chip bounce.

Jul 21, 2026
IREN signed $2.8 billion in AI contracts, and bitcoin miner stocks rallied with it
News

IREN signed $2.8 billion in AI contracts, and bitcoin miner stocks rallied with it

IREN closed up 19.6% after announcing $2.8 billion in new AI cloud contracts. Hut 8 and CleanSpark had data center lease news of their own, while CIFR, SLNH and KEEL rallied in sympathy. The fuel: Moonshot AI is turning away paying Kimi K3 subscribers because it ran out of GPU capacity.

Jul 20, 2026
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