
IREN signed a frontier AI lab and is paying 9% to finance the GPUs. Microsoft deployment debt costs 6%.
IREN (IREN) reported fiscal 2026 results and a new multi-year contract with an unnamed leading frontier AI lab. The same release prices its GPU debt by customer: 9.0% on $2.4 billion for non investment grade deployments, 6.0% on the $3.6 billion behind Microsoft.

Citadel Securities made a record $7.3 billion last quarter. Jane Street lost $15 billion in July.
Bloomberg reports the market maker more than tripled its second-quarter trading revenue to $7.3 billion, with net income up more than 250%. Jane Street still crossed $40 billion for the year despite a $15 billion July loss tied to Situational Awareness.

Countries are buying AI compute like oil reserves. Nvidia says it's already a $30 billion business.
Governments are buying AI compute as national infrastructure, and specialized neoclouds are renting out GPUs at scale, but the two overlap more than the headline numbers suggest. What it means for Nvidia, Oracle, CoreWeave, Nebius and IREN.

CoreWeave (CRWV) signed a multibillion-dollar AI cloud deal with Hudson River Trading, but neither company disclosed the terms.
CoreWeave signed a multi-year deal with Hudson River Trading to power the quant trading firm's AI research on Nvidia Vera Rubin NVL72 and HGX B200 systems. Neither company disclosed a dollar figure. It's CoreWeave's latest large infrastructure deal after a $21 billion Meta contract and a $104 billion revenue backlog.

The AI trade rotates to a new sector every week. Which one is it going to be this week?
The AI trade has rotated by sector almost every week: software, then photonics, then memory. So which corner of AI runs next? I make the case for the one group that keeps riding along without ever leading.

Hedge Fund Citadel already held every stock in Leopold Aschenbrenner's book before buying it
Citadel's own quarterly filing, out Friday, already listed every stock in Leopold Aschenbrenner's book, about a month before it bought the book. The catch is what those holdings actually mean.

Nebius (NBIS) soars 27% as explosive AI demand burns Michael Burry's short
Nebius grew Q2 revenue 454% to $582 million, swung to a profit, and jumped about 27% as CEO Arkady Volozh said AI demand keeps growing exponentially. The whole data center trade rallied, and Michael Burry's fresh short went underwater.

CoreWeave (CRWV) crushed earnings and Cramer's IREN call aged well. Then Nebius (NBIS) crushed it too.
CoreWeave crushed its quarter and jumped about 15% after hours, five days after Jim Cramer told a caller to buy CRWV over IREN and called it cheaper and better. The backlog hit $104 billion. Nebius (NBIS) reports Wednesday morning, and it's the next test for the whole neocloud trade.

Bitdeer (BTDR) filed to sell up to $1 billion of stock six days after its $4.7 billion Norway lease. Its remaining cost to finish the site is $500 million.
Bitdeer registered up to $1 billion of Class A shares on Monday, six days after announcing a 16-year, $4.7 billion colocation lease at Tydal. The tenant can walk at 10 years with no fee.

Lumentum (LITE) and Coherent (COHR) have each beaten Wall Street six quarters straight. Intuitive Machines (LUNR) has missed six straight, and 28 more AI stocks report the same week.
Lumentum and Coherent haven't missed a quarter in over a year. Intuitive Machines hasn't beaten one. More than 30 AI-linked stocks report earnings the week of August 10, and their trailing records couldn't be more different.

CoreWeave (CRWV) secured priority SSD supply from SK Hynix's Solidigm in a multi-year deal, but key terms weren't disclosed.
CoreWeave announced a multi-year agreement with Solidigm for priority access to enterprise SSD capacity. The release carried no dollar value, no term length and no capacity figure, which is not how CoreWeave's $21 billion Meta agreement read. Enterprise SSD contract prices rose about 80% in the first quarter.

The AI trade rallied Monday. Memory fell as much as 8% at the open even as chip prices kept rising.
Micron (MU) has lost a third of its value since June 25 and SanDisk nearly half. CoreWeave and Vertiv fell about half as far, and Nvidia rose. Memory contract prices never fell. What changed is the rate of increase, which went from 93-98% a quarter to a forecast 13-18%.

Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness fund owned 19 stocks outright. Every one of them rose Thursday after he sold his positions
Four SEC filings name 19 companies Situational Awareness owned outright, and every one of them rose on July 30. Nebius was the biggest at about $1.84 billion, and the quarterly report understates SharonAI by twelve times.

The Nasdaq fell six days straight, then chips ripped. Microsoft, Samsung, and Citadel buying out Aschenbrenner all landed inside 18 hours.
The Nasdaq's six-day losing streak ended at exactly six, which our own history piece said was the single most likely outcome. Microsoft's $678 billion backlog, Samsung's call that the chip crunch runs to 2028, and Citadel buying the bulk of a leveraged $24 billion book all arrived between Wednesday's close and Thursday afternoon.

Leopold Aschenbrenner's AI fund sold its levered stock book, longs and shorts, to a single buyer. It was levered as much as four times.
CNBC's David Faber reported that Situational Awareness sold its entire public equities book, longs and shorts together, to a single buyer. The fund reached $24 billion near its highs and ran leverage of as much as four times. Its last public filing shows 62% of a $13.68 billion book was bets against chip stocks, and the stocks it owned outright fell twice as far.

US strikes on Iran paused. Oil fell more than 3%, and Micron (MU) and Nebius (NBIS) rose over the weekend
US Central Command has gone two straight nights without striking Iran, and a Defense Department source told CNN operations are on a hold. Polymarket puts an effective ceasefire at 75% by August 31. US markets were shut all weekend, but the tokenized stock market never closed, and it spent Sunday buying the AI trade and selling oil.

Nvidia (NVDA) and 34 other companies told Washington not to restrict open-weight AI. OpenAI signed a day late. Anthropic still hasn't.
The Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter asks Washington not to restrict AI models anyone can download. It went from 25 signatures to 35. OpenAI added its name after sitting out the launch, Google's CEO backed it without signing, and Anthropic declined to comment. Update, July 27: the list has since grown to 133 names, and both Google and Amazon signed.

All seven Magnificent Seven stocks fell today. Here's where that money actually went (July 23, 2026)
All seven Magnificent Seven stocks were red by late morning Thursday, led by Tesla's 14% drop on an earnings miss and Alphabet's close-to-7% slide despite beating estimates, on another capex raise. Amazon and Meta sold off too ahead of next week's reports. The money didn't just leave, it rotated: into defense on Lockheed's earnings beat, and out of quantum, SaaS and space.

Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet (GOOGL) are falling hard. The rest of the AI trade isn't (July 23, 2026)
Tesla and Alphabet kept falling through Thursday morning even as chipmakers, neoclouds and photonics stocks held up fine. Oil topped $100 a barrel after Trump threatened to bomb Iranian infrastructure over any new attack on shipping.

IREN signed $2.8 billion in AI contracts, and bitcoin miner stocks rallied with it
IREN closed up 19.6% after announcing $2.8 billion in new AI cloud contracts. Hut 8 and CleanSpark had data center lease news of their own, while CIFR, SLNH and KEEL rallied in sympathy. The fuel: Moonshot AI is turning away paying Kimi K3 subscribers because it ran out of GPU capacity.

Nvidia (NVDA) and Microsoft (MSFT) don't just sell OpenAI chips and cloud time. They also fund the bill.
Nvidia, Microsoft, Oracle, Broadcom, AMD, and CoreWeave have promised OpenAI close to a trillion dollars combined, and some of them are OpenAI's investors as well as its vendors. Here's how the money actually loops, and where it's already showing strain.

I gave five AIs a pretend $10,000 to pick 5 tech stocks. Four bought Nvidia (NVDA). Claude went rogue.
ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, Meta AI and Claude each picked five tech stocks to hold for six months. Four bought Nvidia. Claude went the other way. Every pick is here and the scoreboard runs monthly.

Nebius (NBIS) tried a $1 billion customer deal and a new business model to stop its stock slide. A $775 million loan is what actually worked.
Nebius raised $775 million in its first-ever secured debt facility, backed by GPU infrastructure and contracted cash flows, without issuing new shares. The stock is up more than 5% today, defying a weak Nasdaq, after a $1 billion customer deal and a new partnership model both failed to stop a 22% five-day slide.

Meta (META) is in talks to lease $10 billion of computing power to its rival Anthropic
The New York Times reports Meta is negotiating to lease AI rival Anthropic up to $10 billion in computing power, following the path SpaceX and TeraWulf already blazed.