The Wire

Microsoft (MSFT) is finally moving: the news behind it and what could push it higher
Microsoft has bounced about 12% off its June low even as chip stocks keep falling. Here is the news moving MSFT, from the software rotation and the Haleon AI deal to the catalysts that could push it higher into July 28 earnings.

Meta selling spare compute doesn't mean the AI crunch is over (META, CRWV, NBIS)
Chip stocks sold off on Meta's plan to rent out spare compute. But Meta itself just got rationed by Google and is locked into take-or-pay deals with CoreWeave and Nebius. Why the overcapacity story is shaky, plus what to watch next week.

Micron cracks $1,000 as the chip scare returns from Korea (MU, AVAV)
Stocks opened firm, then chips rolled over after 10 a.m. Micron (MU) cracked $1,000 as the Korea selloff spread. The Dow held, and healthcare and AVAV rallied.

Ondas (ONDS) CEO reportedly touts a $20 billion market cap goal. The stock says $4 billion
An investor who was on a group Zoom call with Ondas CEO Eric Brock says Brock told participants the company will reach a $20 billion market cap and not stop there. Ondas is worth about $4.15 billion today. Here is the math, what is real behind the ambition, and the dilution catch.

Chips had their third worst day of 2026 and the S&P barely noticed (MU, INTC)
The S&P 500 closed within a whisker of flat on July 1 and the chip trade still had its third worst day of the year. Micron fell 10.5 percent, Intel lost 9 percent, and Meta gained almost 9 percent on the other side. Here is the damage report.

Intel's turnaround, AMD's run, and why the CPU still matters in AI
Intel (INTC) was the comeback story of 2026, up about 278% in the first half on a foundry turnaround. AMD (AMD) rose about 171% on the same theme. A deep dive into what changed at Intel, how AMD keeps taking share, and why the CPU still matters in an AI world obsessed with GPUs.

The AI stocks that led and lagged the first half of 2026
The first half of 2026 split the AI trade in two. Memory and chip-supply names like Micron (MU, +304%) and Intel (INTC, +278%) soared, while marquee names lagged and AI software fell, with Palantir (PLTR) down about 34%. Here is the full scoreboard and what it means.

How to track stock trades by Congress and the president
A plain guide to how politicians disclose their stock trades: the STOCK Act, which forms to read (PTR, OGE 278-T, 13F, Form 4), where to find them for free, and how to read them without fooling yourself.

Meta's cloud news is hammering the neoclouds: CoreWeave and Nebius drop about 13% (July 1, 2026)
The same Meta cloud announcement that sent META up about 10% on July 1, 2026 is hammering the neoclouds. CoreWeave (CRWV) and Nebius (NBIS) each fell about 13% as investors saw a giant new rival for renting out AI computing power.

Where the money moved July 1: out of chips, into software, as Meta jumps on cloud news
A flat tape hid a sharp rotation on July 1, 2026: money moved out of semiconductors (SMH -4.2%) and into software (IGV +3.8%), led by Meta's (META) roughly 10% jump on news it will sell its spare AI cloud computing power.

I let Claude AI trade $100 of my money and it bought Red Cat (RCAT)
I funded Robinhood's new Agentic AI account with $100 and let Claude trade for me. Its first pick was Red Cat (RCAT) at $10.68, an Army drone stock I would not have grabbed myself. Two days in, it is green, and I still cannot fully explain the pick. My honest, slightly humbling take.

T1 Energy (TE) leads a solar stock rally on a looming Chinese inverter ban
T1 Energy (TE) jumped alongside Nextracker, Shoals Technologies and JinkoSolar this week as solar stocks rallied on a Reuters report that Washington is moving to ban Chinese-made power inverters. Leopold Aschenbrenner's fund has a small stake in T1, too.

Michael Burry is betting against Tesla (TSLA) and Caterpillar (CAT), days after making a multi-year bet Microsoft (MSFT) rises
Michael Burry disclosed five new short positions on June 30, including a first-ever bet against Caterpillar (CAT), just days after a multi-year bet that Microsoft (MSFT) shares would rise. Every price he disclosed, and where the trades stand now.

AI investing glossary: the jargon behind every AI stock, explained
A plain-English glossary of the jargon in AI-stock coverage: GPU, HBM, foundry, neocloud, hyperscaler, capex, 13F, picks and shovels, Mag 7 and more, grouped by theme with links to fuller explainers.

Agility Robotics (CCXI) trades 66% above the price its own insiders are paying. Nobody outside the deal has seen the financials.
CCXI closed at $16.62 against the $10 price Foxconn and Agility's existing backers are paying to take the humanoid robot maker public as AGLT. What the filings show about the deal, Digit's unit economics, and the six funds that bought at $10.

What is a 13F filing? How to track what hedge funds are buying (and what it leaves out)
A plain-English guide to 13F filings: what they are, the 45-day lag, what they include and leave out, how 13D and 13G stakes differ, and how to track what hedge funds are buying for free.

Smart money is piling into AI neoclouds: Nebius NBIS, SharonAI SHAZ and Cerebras CBRS
Several top funds disclosed 5%+ stakes in AI compute names this spring: Leopold's Situational Awareness in Nebius (NBIS) and SharonAI (SHAZ), Tiger Global in Cerebras (CBRS), and Lone Pine in miners turned AI data centers TeraWulf (WULF) and Hut 8 (HUT).

What is SharonAI (SHAZ)? Inside the AI cloud stock Leopold Aschenbrenner just took to a 19.9% stake
A deep dive on SharonAI Holdings (SHAZ), the thinly-traded AI GPU-cloud stock Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness just took to a 19.9% stake, plus the price action since his position became visible: roughly $57.50 in mid-May to about $88 now.

Bitcoin is sliding, and the AI data center miners are sliding with it (IREN, CORZ, CLSK)
A dozen former bitcoin miners now call themselves AI data center companies. With bitcoin down near $58,300 and sliding a second day, most fell with it, while the names furthest from crypto held up best.

Drone stocks jump: AeroVironment AVAV, Unusual Machines UMAC, Ondas ONDS and Red Cat RCAT rally
Drone stocks jumped on June 30, 2026 after AeroVironment's (AVAV) beat, with AeroVironment up about 20% and Unusual Machines (UMAC) about 15%. Beaten-down names Ondas (ONDS) and Red Cat (RCAT) finally bounced, even as Washington and Beijing escalate a drone trade war.

AI's quiet winners: ASML, AMD and Vertiv VRT lead at the June 30, 2026 open
On the last trading day of the first half, the AI suppliers led again. ASML, Arm (ARM) and Vertiv (VRT) each rose about 4%, while Micron (MU) is up roughly 300% in 2026.

Space stocks had their day Monday, June 29: Rocket Lab (RKLB), AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) and Iridium (IRDM) soar
A Rocket Lab takeover of Iridium, an analyst upgrade, and the SpaceX index story all hit at once. Here is what actually moved space stocks on June 29.

AeroVironment (AVAV) jumps after hours on a Q4 beat and raise (June 29)
AeroVironment (AVAV) beat on both lines in fiscal Q4, with adjusted EPS of $1.84 and revenue of $641.6M up about 133% year over year, then guided fiscal 2027 well above. The stock jumped roughly 15% after hours.

Data-center and bitcoin-miner stocks (CRWV, HIVE) sold off at the open on June 29 after a pre-market pop
AI data-center, neo-cloud, and bitcoin-miner stocks ticked up pre-market on June 29, then sold off hard at the open. Most are down 3% to 10% from the open and now slowly recovering. Nebius (NBIS) was the exception.